Tag: European Union

Why i’m glad Trump won, upset Le Pen lost and hope that Merkel wins

Why i’m glad Trump won, upset Le Pen lost and hope that Merkel wins

Donald Trump is in the White House, Le Pen almost secured power in France and Merkel looks like she should take the German federal elections, all in all, things are looking pretty crappy and that has me extremely happy. Now please don’t get it twisted, it’s not that I  have woken up and suddenly said “Hark, I love the far right”, nor is it that I have drunk the neoliberal kool-aid of Mrs Merkel and her ilk, so what then would bring on such an odd statement from me, a person who has written from a position of the left?

The answer is simple though I’m sure many will find it both upsetting, sad and disgusting all at the same time. Again it’s not that I have become a new Mussolini, instead, I am chuffed that these people are doing well because it will and more importantly IS both undermining and showing what the neoliberal system is and hasten its downfall. In a nutshell, the electoral success of these people will bring the whole feculent and oppressive house of cards down. But it is more than that, it is quickly opening up peoples eyes to the fact that they system is rigged firmly against them and they are fighting back for a more just system.

This can be found all over the place, take for example France and their recent elections. In the end, the centrist Macron beat out the far right Le Pen, but that is not the whole story. While Macron was pushing for more of the same (the decimation of the French welfare state, increasing military adventures abroad, further integration of the EU and opening up the nation to neo-liberal regulations), Le Pen and her policies looked like they came from the left wing. She promised nationalisation of industries and the keeping of jobs that Macron wanted to get rid of. Needless to say she lost, but just barely (showing just how disgusted people are with the system), and now that we Mr Macron doing just as he promised (starting with the cutting of housing subsidies that will mainly affect the poor and students) we are seeing the push back from the poor and students who are demanding not just the safeguarding of the current system but also the creation of a whole new and more just France.

Germany is also a nation where the neoliberals have gone a bridge too far. Germany under the neoliberal model has done well only in a superficial way post-Berlin wall, but more so since the great international recession during the tenure of Mrs Merkel(which is still haunting the Eurozone). For while Germany has a great employment rate and a ‘robust’ financial sector, when one looks closer at the data we see wages that have been stagnant for over a decade and we see where the biggest and most important German financial institution Deutsche Bank has more debt than they can ever hope to repay in a thousand lifetimes. We have a nation that talks about multiculturalism but fails to integrate people while keeping old prejudices that then gives rise to parties such as the AFD (Alternative für Deutschland), we have a nation that pumps money into governments with actual neo-Nazi members as is the case with Ukraine while also supporting and funding groups that lead to the rise of ISIS (the very threat they now fear). The German people are waking up to the realities that the neo-liberal system is failing as seen in Mrs Merkel’s low (at least for her) approval ratings, hopefully, one more term of the abject CDU/CSU-SPD coalition will hasten the collapse of the failed neoliberal experience in that nation.

Finally, we come to the United States and Mr Donald Trump. What can one say but thank you for showing the world the true unabashed face and the end result of neoliberalism and all that it carries? Imagine if it had been Mrs Clinton in office who had announced the massive tax giveaway to the rich, would MSNBC, CNN et all be up in arms and calling out the oppressive administration and policy? How would the American citizenry have reacted if a hypothetical president Clinton met Field Marshal President Al-Sisi and the members of the house of Saud, would the media have its panties in a bunch or would they praise her on her ‘many air miles racked up’? How exactly would American society have reacted if say President Clinton was to have basically ok’d the sideswiping and blockade of Qatar by the Gulf Arab nations because of (and please don’t laugh) their support of terrorists (who amongst the Gulf monarchies doesn’t support terrorists), would they be roundly condemning her as a ‘dictator’ or would they praise her as they did in her inglorious Libyan adventure? No let us not condemn Trump but thank him for showing what the system is all about, the expansion of fossil fuels (as done under Obama who wanted oil independence), the cementing of the super rich and their companies (as seen with the Democratic bailout of Wall Street) the beating up of the poor and marginalized (like homosexuals who Democrats only took seriously when they realized that it was a great vote winner) for no one would dare raise a protest if it were a Democrat in office doing it (as we saw with Mr Obama). Mr Trump has awoken people to the fact that the American system is failed and that a change is needed, a change on both sides and a change that is more equitable and bereft of the twisted neo-liberal ideology.

The neoliberal system is a sick one and this is its end result the rise of the far right. The far right thrives in situations like this because they despise liberalism and in scenarios like this can point to the hard evidence of the failures of liberal (neoliberal) variety. When a government is more concerned with exploiting persons for the profits of the super rich rather than the welfare of their starving society (almost half Americans live near or below the official American poverty level) then that is a breeding ground for the rise of the far right. The sooner the neoliberal experiment fails then the faster the far right can both fail and be tackled, that is the reality of things, so again disgusting as it may sound let us have a drink in the name of the trinity who may very well cause the system to implode.

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The new dark age

History does not repeat itself, that is one of the first things drilled into anyone who has studied history, and  that statement holds true almost always. History cant repeat itself as the conditions that man faced during the 1700’s is totally different than the conditions facing mankind today in the twenty-first century. I repeat, history cant repeat itself, but as we know, current events almost always look, smell and sound very similar to past historical moments in time.

It is  my theory that the world is experiencing, and currently living through what seriously mimics the ‘Dark ages’.We are witnessing the birth pangs of a new era and history sows that it will be very messy before some order is restored. Examples of the world slipping into the darkness is all around us and is happening at a frightful speed. Take for example the collapse of the empire that is happening right now. We are seeing the great American empire disintegrate before our very eyes if only we care to take a cursory look at the situation.

America, much like ancient Rome has reached its zenith. Just as the Romans were the masters of the then known world, we have the Americans being the master of our world today. Much like Rome the american empire survives and is feared/respected because of its awesome military might. Much like Rome the Americans are the masters of soft power, so that foreigners look and hope with baited breath to become a citizen of the empire. And much like Rome then, the american empire dominates economically as well.

However much like its Roman predecessor america is entering a period of terminal decline, the kind of decline that precipitated the ‘dark ages’. We see the once great and vibrant american economy now on its knees and they are now a country where half of its working population is hovering precariously above or live in poverty (earning $30,000 or less a year is the benchmark for American poverty). It is a nation that produces nothing and it is a nation of many disgruntled persons who are unsure as to why their standard of living has plummeted off a cliff.

Along with a tanking economy we witness how person a social breakdown.The societal breakdown that we are witnessing today is a clear indicator of us slipping into the darkness.

Staying with America, it remains the preeminent military might, and that is the key reason for it still remaining a powerhouse. The American military is strong, probably the strongest in the world, but again like its predecessor Rome, the army is also eating away at the American empire even while they project their might. Like the Romans the American army is massive, however that fact alone is not killing it. The fact that it is an all volunteer army is however destroying it. It is destroying it because the army firstly eats up over half of the budget (and discretionary spending) of the American budget and quite frankly no one wants to join, except persons from the ‘redneck’ states or as is increasingly the case immigrants. Now i do not believe that the american army will go the way of the roman army and have troops loyal to a general and not to the nation, however much like the Roman army the volunteers are mainly from the poorer parts of the world and as such will think twice before going to war and collaborating with the enemy (as seen with the Romans found out with the Germanic legion that they implemented).

The fall of America is not however the only harbinger of our new ‘dark age’, a look at technology and how we use it also spells doom. The internet is the modern day printing press, and it going through all of the birthing pains that the printing press went through. When the printing press was invented it saw an initial explosion of knowledge as books became more available to the general populace, we see this in the internet that has also ushered in age of mass knowledge. However the internet, much like the printing press, is about to meet some hard times. Persons with vested interests will, are and already have in some instances but the brake on internet expansion and freedom.

These persons with vested interests much like there middle age predecessors do not like, want or desire the populace being informed and are working hard to stop it. Be it the ‘Great Firewall of China’ or the simple blocking of Twitter and Facebook by the Turkish authorities we are seeing where the explosion of information has been tamed. Those actions mimic those of when the monarchs and clergy of the day put a brake on the expansion of knowledge by regulating the printing press.

Just like the middle ages (dark age) we are witnessing a mass movement of people as persons flee nations failing, escape war, to just make a better life or (as is increasingly the case) to escape a land with no more vital resources (such as water). This mass migration during the middle ages caused much distress and played no small part in keeping the world ‘dark’. In the middle ages this mass migration resulted in both new nations and the re-configuring of others. While we are yet to see the birth of a new nation due to migration, we have witnessed the destabilizing and re-configuring of existing nations.

A casual glance at west Europe confirms this view. We have nations like France, Germany and the BENELUX countries all experiencing serious demographic shifts as members of the old colonies displacing the native population. They experience this when the native populace continues to have a low birth rate while the migrants retain the high birth rate along with them coming in en mass. Just as the middle ages saw the Magyars enter the Hungarian plains we see the Congolese enter Belgium or the man from Ivory Coast lands at Marseilles, and just like in the past we see where the newly arrived rapidly change the face of the nation in ways that are violent or through the gradual wearing down of the existing status quo (as seen in the UK where sharia law is used in some legal cases).

One way we are also entering some ‘dark age’ is the retrenching from globalization. Just as in the middle ages we are witnessing a world with countries looking more inwards rather than outwards. We see this in action with the demagogues who are either in power (Donald Trump) or through the labour unions that demand some isolationism as they seek to rebuild a manufacturing sector.

This retreat from each other was also a hallmark of the middle ages and played no small part in the conflicts that erupted during those times. We are seeing nations retreat from each other and starting to be more insular and as a result we are seeing nations act in ways that could inevitably lead to a conflict that would dwarf any past conflict we have witnessed as a species.

Finally another harbinger of the age we are approaching is the war and thirst for conflict. The west led by the Empire has been at war for sixteen years and it doesn’t seem like it will end anytime soon. The nations are bleeding their coffers to remain at war (against an idea) at the expense of their populations well being and we are witnessing the fruit of that blossoming. The nations are spending billions yearly to conduct these wars and they are fast becoming bankrupt as a result. The wars that the west is waging is playing a large part in the ‘dark age’that we are witnessing. As the military becomes the be all and end all of a nation it does so at the expense of the citizens in that country. Just as no one during the time realized they were living through the one hundred year war which broke Europe in terms of manpower and expense so too are we are living in our own hundred year war, and we will not know it until decades later when we have long been broken and poor.

And it’s Germany at the death

The world is a funny old place, one hundred years ago a war was fought primarily in Western Europe to stop an imperial upstart (Germany) from becoming too powerful in Europe. Some seventy odd years ago yet another war was fought (in almost exactly the same places) to stop the resurgent Germany from being the sole power in the European hemisphere. Much blood was shed in order to stop German hegemony in Europe and many a leader were secretly happy that the once powerful Germany had been split, made a useless rump, but things and times change.

Germany as things stand IS the dominant force in Western Europe and has been, this fact was hammered home when yet again right after an election the French president immediately went to Berlin to pay homage to the German president. During this trip they discussed a strengthening of the economic union, something the Bundesbank has long championed as it would mean cementing Frankfurt as the economic heart of Europe. The fact that Germany is the sole power in Western Europe was also made evident when the UK, the only other nation comparable to Germany chose to go it alone and abandon the continent, thus leaving the continents western hemisphere to the mercies of Germany.

Why should one be worried or even take interest in the fact that Germany is turning the European Union into its own personal play thing where it alone is the dominant player and everyone else must tow the line, and is this even happening? Well one can take Greece and its ongoing economic crisis for a bit of evidence of this. Now let us ignore that fact that everyone knew that the debt was un-payable and that a haircut was needed, and let us discount the fact that the economy was burning and they wanted them to cut more social services to service the un-serviceable debt. The Greek people were given an option by their government, a simple yes or no to yet another u-payable bailout. They chose no and instead of honoring that the Troika led by Germany held the Greek banks to hostage and demanded that the Greek government ignore the express wishes of the people as reflected in the referendum.

We are also seeing Germany, the most populous (and strongest in terms of arms manufacturing) actively pushing for the formation of a European army to take the place of NATO. The Germans have long wished for a European army as they know that realistically only two nations would dominate it (Germany and France), and in reality only one because the other EU ‘superpower’ is quickly becoming a basket case. This European army thus will be led by the Germans, and just as EU foreign policy is dictated from Berlin, so to Paris.

However they (the Germans) will not be in such a strong position as it is now. The central and eastern members of this union will not and are not taking this situation laying down. Nations like Hungary and Poland  are quickly becoming upset with the mutterings from Berlin and and Brussels and have united because of a sense of culture disappearing. The central and eastern nations also will not stand idly by as the EU becomes more like a session of the German Bundestag. These nations, barely off the leash that was soviet oppression will not being talked down to lightly, this could lead to the breakup of the EU as we know it and in its place we would be left with two continental powers sharing a border.

The EU as is is dead, it has little to no authority over the member states who continually ride roughshod through the ‘sanctions’. Germany is in a precarious position and it is one that they certainly entertain as serious.. They are being asked to be the king maker of the EU and this could spell badly for the rest of Europe. Will Germany with its new found leadership role play the part of good cop, or will they isolate the issue and badger on and on until fixed.

The world must surely be awake now, but as the years go by Germany accrues more power and that should give everyone pause for thought. These actions are the type of things that lead to the death and of whatever the Germans have done. Still the captain said ‘you can do it or get out’ and i fear that most of us will get out rather than doing the labour, I hope i’m wrong but as things stand the world is looking a bit darker than before